Sun 5 Nov 2006
So it seems that Saddam’s lawyer has warned if the death sentence is carried out, there will be more violence in Iraq. Isn’t that a pretty easy prediction to make though?
- “If there isn’t any Pibb Xtra in the fridge at work tomorrow, there is going to be more violence in Iraq.”
- “If your pizza isn’t delivered in 30 minutes, there is going to be more violence in Iraq.”
- “If the glove doesn’t fit, there is going to be more violence in Iraq.”
- “If you believe they put a man on the moon, man on the moon, there is going to be more violence in Iraq.”
I could go on.
November 5th, 2006 at 4:08pm
I don’t know that there will necessarily be *more* violence, but I think this will be a turning point where a unified Iraq ends. No one wants to live in a US puppet state, so I think this will make a Kurdistan state inevitable, with a big mess in the south.
November 5th, 2006 at 4:54pm
ShadowNode: given that violence occurs daily, my point was that a prediction of violence is not exactly taking a huge a stand. I predict that if you read this comment, there will be more violence in Iraq!
November 5th, 2006 at 8:33pm
I think you’re being a bit unfair, though; I read the “more” prediction to be “more than there would have been without this decision”, not just “more” as in “continuing”.
It’s not clear to me that the per diem quantity of violence would be increasing without this verdict, mostly because I don’t trust anyone’s statistics and so am unable to determine what the per diem quantity of violence is.